Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.046932 0.051048 0.055219 0.059754 0.064539 0.069431 0.074804
2024-10-20 0.039825 0.045721 0.051908 0.058859 0.066426 0.074388 0.083375
2024-10-27 0.035414 0.042680 0.050547 0.059637 0.069793 0.080736 0.093360
2024-11-03 0.031034 0.039207 0.048321 0.059135 0.071507 0.085120 0.101128
2024-11-10 0.027854 0.036768 0.046986 0.059395 0.073893 0.090136 0.109550
2024-11-17 0.025480 0.035033 0.046261 0.060188 0.076760 0.095619 0.118474
2024-11-24 0.024562 0.034940 0.047391 0.063102 0.082072 0.103928 0.130699
2024-12-01 0.021435 0.031849 0.044673 0.061202 0.081518 0.105276 0.134750
2024-12-08 0.019303 0.029853 0.043157 0.060630 0.082446 0.108285 0.140693
2024-12-15 0.017531 0.028188 0.041936 0.060316 0.083599 0.111501 0.146846
2024-12-22 0.016940 0.028062 0.042660 0.062437 0.087759 0.118365 0.157413
2024-12-29 0.015997 0.027373 0.042585 0.063485 0.090546 0.123548 0.165965
2025-01-05 0.014991 0.026561 0.042340 0.064341 0.093160 0.128627 0.174558
2025-01-12 0.013486 0.024917 0.040878 0.063520 0.093578 0.130959 0.179782
2025-01-19 0.012679 0.024250 0.040720 0.064409 0.096194 0.136048 0.188449
2025-01-26 0.011512 0.022947 0.039592 0.063921 0.096963 0.138780 0.194177
2025-02-02 0.010681 0.022102 0.039069 0.064220 0.098743 0.142787 0.201512
2025-02-09 0.010076 0.021572 0.038963 0.065069 0.101239 0.147709 0.210014
2025-02-16 0.010112 0.022098 0.040429 0.068152 0.106771 0.156591 0.223604
2025-02-23 0.008845 0.020333 0.038375 0.066152 0.105355 0.156418 0.225627
2025-03-02 0.008027 0.019272 0.037332 0.065552 0.105805 0.158650 0.230714
2025-03-09 0.007339 0.018382 0.036505 0.065222 0.106598 0.161313 0.236352
2025-03-16 0.007252 0.018588 0.037411 0.067461 0.110985 0.168763 0.248238